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Notes from the
litigation risk frontier.
Methodology deep-dives, case studies, and what we're seeing across thousands of matters.
May 18, 2026·AI & Methodology·9 min read
Two LLMs, same case file, opposite verdicts.
Most “AI for litigation” tools haven’t reduced variance in legal risk. They’ve hidden it. A note on why methodology, not models, is the moat.
JHJonathan Habshush
May 12, 2026·Market intelligence·11 min read
What Roundup tells us about the next mass tort.
Mass torts don’t surprise the legal market. They surprise the financial market. The lag between the docket and the share price is the alpha — and it’s already in motion on five active dockets.
GWGadi Winter
May 4, 2026·Judge & venue·8 min read
What judges actually do on Rule 12 motions in S.D.N.Y.
Every litigator has a mental model of “this judge grants every MTD.” Most of those models are wrong, biased by recency, and built on a sample of four. We pulled 12,400 motions. The bench is a wider distribution than your gut says it is.
JHJonathan Habshush